How Trump went from threatening Iran's annihilation to agreeing to a 2-week ceasefire with Tehran

U.S. President Donald Trump made a sudden and dramatic shift in policy this week, moving from threats of total destruction against Iran to agreeing to a two-week ceasefire aimed at halting nearly six weeks of escalating conflict.

The temporary truce, brokered with support from Pakistan and quiet diplomatic backing from China, came just hours before a U.S. ultimatum demanding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump said the decision followed what he described as successful military operations and the emergence of a “workable” proposal from Tehran that could pave the way for a longer-term peace agreement. 

The Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy route, had been closed during the conflict, triggering spikes in oil prices and international concern.

Despite the breakthrough, confusion quickly emerged over the scope of the agreement. Iran indicated that the ceasefire should extend to conflicts involving Israel in Lebanon, while Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rejected that interpretation, insisting military operations there would continue.

The fragile nature of the truce has raised doubts among analysts, especially after reports of tensions and mixed signals from all sides less than a day after the announcement. Observers warn that without clear terms and enforcement mechanisms, the agreement could unravel quickly.

At the White House, Trump is expected to meet Mark Rutte to discuss the reopening of the strait and broader security concerns. The waterway is vital, carrying a significant share of the world’s oil supply, and securing it would require a substantial and potentially long-term military commitment.

Experts caution that any attempt by the United States to control the strait militarily could draw it into a prolonged and costly conflict. Estimates suggest tens of thousands of troops would be needed to secure the region over an extended period.

Meanwhile, Vice President JD Vance is expected to lead upcoming negotiations with Iranian officials in Islamabad, alongside senior envoys. He has described the ceasefire as “fragile” but expressed hope that diplomacy could lead to a lasting resolution.

The shift in strategy highlights the risks of escalation and the challenges of navigating a complex regional conflict. While the ceasefire offers a temporary pause, its success will depend on whether both sides can turn it into a durable agreement through negotiations.